The tropical Atlantic has been calm this season, so far. However, it is common during the month of June into early July that the Atlantic is quiet. On average, the first tropical storm forms in the Atlantic Basin in early July, so it is not unusual that we have not seen a tropical system develop.
There are two tropical waves of importance. One is between 40 and 45 West, mainly south of 16 North. This is moving west at a rapid 25 to 30 knots. The second wave is along 87 West, south of 21 North and it is moving west at 10 to 15 knots.
Strong westerly shear continues across a good portion of the Basin and this is not expected to change much in the near future. This shear, along with l areas of below normal sea surface temperatures, will aid in keeping the chance of development very low.
By AccuWeather.com Senior Meteorologist Ken Clark
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