The cluster of showers and thunderstorms in the eastern Caribbean has a “near zero percent” chance of developing into a tropical cyclone, forecasters at the National Hurricane Center now say.
At one point Monday, meteorologists said the wave had an 80 percent chance of development over the ensuing five days, but those odds have dropped ever since.
Historically, tropical cyclones — which can be classified as a tropical depression, tropical storm or hurricane, depending on wind-speed intensity — are not as likely to form in November as they are in the early months of hurricane season, but it still happens. The official Atlantic hurricane season goes from June 1 to Nov. 30.
If this system had become a named storm, it would have become Patty.